Match Time：1/20/2018 03:45 Saturday (GMT+8)
England Championship Round 28, Derby County will be against Bristol City at home. Derby County beat Birmingham City in last away game by 3-0, they kept unbeaten in 8 ENG LCH games consecutively. Now they are on second place of league table with 15W-7D-5L, 5 points over Bristol City and takes advantage of the field. This is an important promoted game for both sides, so it is no doubt for their ambition. Bristol City promoted to ENG LCH on 14/15 season, after that, they fight for keeping position in recent 2 years. However, they promote greatly at this season. But recently the team trapped in low form, they suffered 5 consecutive losses after lost the game by Norwich City at home with 0-1, being in low morale and form.
Handicap Odds Analysis: 0.82 0/0.5 1.06
According to Nowgoal Big Data, the Asian handicap odds are Derby County -0/0.5, high return. In historical battles, Derby County acquired 3W-1D-1L VS Bristol City in past 5 home games, showed home advantage significantly. Indeed, Derby County won 8 out of 13 home competitions this season, and they became the team who have chance to promote in ENG PR thanks to collect points in this time. Bristol City played unstable performance recently, the main question for them is weak on offense. They only scored 2 out of past 5 battles, and they scored zero in more than 3 games. So it is tough for them with this condition VS Derby County. The live odds are adjusted to Derby County -0/0.5, low return. In conclusion, Derby County will not be defeated in this game.
Over/Under Odds Analysis: 0.87 2/2.5 0.99
The Asian first odds are 2.5 goals, high return. Derby County only lost 23 out of 44 goals this season. They are No.2 on league table from offense and defense. Bristol City performed awfully on defense this season, became the team who lost a lot goals on TOP 7 position. They lost against Aston Villa in last away game by 5-0, show big problem on defense. If they could not fix the problem, they will be hard to keep the position in ENG LCH. The live odds are adjusted to 2/2.5 goals, low return. Over goals are not favorites, so we go for under game here.
Derby County VS Bristol City
Handicap Pick: Derby County to win
O/U Pick: Under 2/2.5 goals
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